A dynamic factor model for the colombian inflation

We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model for

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores Principales: González-Molano, Eliana Rocío, Melo-Velandia, Luis Fernando, Monroy, Viviana, Rojas, Brayan
Formato: Documento de trabajo (Working Paper)
Lenguaje:Español (Spanish)
Publicado: Banco de la República 2009
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/handle/20.500.12134/5566
Descripción
Sumario:We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model for