|Sumario:||Economic literature on the subject of displacement from various authors such as Echeverry (2000), Naranjo (2001), Ibáñez (2004), Ibáñez y Suárez (2006), focuses on the relationship between variables such as unsatisfied basic needs, kidnapping, number of murders, acts of terrorism, land areas where coca and poppies are no longer farmed and the existing connection to the displace population.
In order to show the purpose of the economic theory, this document employs a probability regression model (Probit). It permits us to analyze the answer in a binary form where “1” represents a region wich causes displacement or “0” for a region that causes no displacement. The results of the probability modeling show that variables like kidnapping, murders and lands areas where coca and poppies are no longer farmed explain the displacement of a region of 2007. In contrast, variables like unsatisfied basic needs and terrorism, have no significant impact.Finally, we considered a particular region, Paez, in Cauca, because it has some peculiar characteristics including indigenous population who have been affected by displacement in the recent years.|