Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean
Achieving the Paris Agreement's near-term goals (nationally determined contributions, or NDCs) and long-term temperature targets could result in pre-mature retirement, or stranding, of carbon-intensive assets before the end of their useful lifetime. We use an integrated assessment model to quan...
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| Formato: | Artículo (Article) |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés (English) |
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Institute of Physics Publishing
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/23951 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d |
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ir-10336-239512022-05-02T12:37:14Z Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean Binsted, Matthew Iyer, Gokul Edmonds, James Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Cadena, Angela Delgado, Ricardo Feijoo, Felipe Lucena, Andr F P McJeon, Haewon Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando Sharma, Anjali Arguello, Ricardo Carbon Developing countries Food supply Investments Land use Developing regions Food security Integrated assessment models Investment decisions Latin America and the Caribbean Low emission Power sector Useful lifetime Economics Emission control Food security International agreement Investment Mitigation Retirement Standard (regulation) Latin America Integrated assessment modeling Latin america Paris agreement Stranded assets Achieving the Paris Agreement's near-term goals (nationally determined contributions, or NDCs) and long-term temperature targets could result in pre-mature retirement, or stranding, of carbon-intensive assets before the end of their useful lifetime. We use an integrated assessment model to quantify the implications of the Paris Agreement for stranded assets in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), a developing region with the least carbon-intensive power sector in the world. We find that meeting the Paris goals results in stranding of $37-90 billion and investment of $1.9-2.6 trillion worth of power sector capital (2021-2050) across a range of future scenarios. Strengthening the NDCs could reduce stranding costs by 27%-40%. Additionally, while politically shielding power plants from pre-mature retirement or increasing the role of other sectors (e.g. land-use) could also reduce power sector stranding, such actions could make mitigation more expensive and negatively impact society. For example, we find that avoiding stranded assets in the power sector increases food prices 13%, suggesting implications for food security in LAC. Our analysis demonstrates that climate goals are relevant for investment decisions even in developing countries with low emissions. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. 2020 2020-05-26T00:07:00Z info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 17489326 https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/23951 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess application/pdf Institute of Physics Publishing instname:Universidad del Rosario |
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EdocUR - Universidad del Rosario |
| collection |
DSpace |
| language |
Inglés (English) |
| topic |
Carbon Developing countries Food supply Investments Land use Developing regions Food security Integrated assessment models Investment decisions Latin America and the Caribbean Low emission Power sector Useful lifetime Economics Emission control Food security International agreement Investment Mitigation Retirement Standard (regulation) Latin America Integrated assessment modeling Latin america Paris agreement Stranded assets |
| spellingShingle |
Carbon Developing countries Food supply Investments Land use Developing regions Food security Integrated assessment models Investment decisions Latin America and the Caribbean Low emission Power sector Useful lifetime Economics Emission control Food security International agreement Investment Mitigation Retirement Standard (regulation) Latin America Integrated assessment modeling Latin america Paris agreement Stranded assets Binsted, Matthew Iyer, Gokul Edmonds, James Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Cadena, Angela Delgado, Ricardo Feijoo, Felipe Lucena, Andr F P McJeon, Haewon Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando Sharma, Anjali Arguello, Ricardo Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| description |
Achieving the Paris Agreement's near-term goals (nationally determined contributions, or NDCs) and long-term temperature targets could result in pre-mature retirement, or stranding, of carbon-intensive assets before the end of their useful lifetime. We use an integrated assessment model to quantify the implications of the Paris Agreement for stranded assets in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), a developing region with the least carbon-intensive power sector in the world. We find that meeting the Paris goals results in stranding of $37-90 billion and investment of $1.9-2.6 trillion worth of power sector capital (2021-2050) across a range of future scenarios. Strengthening the NDCs could reduce stranding costs by 27%-40%. Additionally, while politically shielding power plants from pre-mature retirement or increasing the role of other sectors (e.g. land-use) could also reduce power sector stranding, such actions could make mitigation more expensive and negatively impact society. For example, we find that avoiding stranded assets in the power sector increases food prices 13%, suggesting implications for food security in LAC. Our analysis demonstrates that climate goals are relevant for investment decisions even in developing countries with low emissions. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
| format |
Artículo (Article) |
| author |
Binsted, Matthew Iyer, Gokul Edmonds, James Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Cadena, Angela Delgado, Ricardo Feijoo, Felipe Lucena, Andr F P McJeon, Haewon Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando Sharma, Anjali Arguello, Ricardo |
| author_facet |
Binsted, Matthew Iyer, Gokul Edmonds, James Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Cadena, Angela Delgado, Ricardo Feijoo, Felipe Lucena, Andr F P McJeon, Haewon Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando Sharma, Anjali Arguello, Ricardo |
| author_sort |
Binsted, Matthew |
| title |
Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| title_short |
Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| title_full |
Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| title_fullStr |
Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean |
| title_sort |
stranded asset implications of the paris agreement in latin america and the caribbean |
| publisher |
Institute of Physics Publishing |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| url |
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/23951 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d |
| _version_ |
1740172104852045824 |
| score |
12,131701 |